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to prevent one today. put the economy in terms we noneconomists understand. it's like a car. >> to return to the driving analogy, if the incoming data supports the view the economy's able to sustain a reasonable cruising speed we will ease pressure on the accelerator by gradually reducing pace of purchases. >> not put on the brake but was ease off accelerator. the fed has been buying $85 billion a month in bonds. that money rushes into the economy, fueling a huge rally in stocks, huge rally until this week. it keeps interest rates low on your home and car loans. but investors are nervous that tapering, taking the foot off the gas, will end the big gains. just the fear of ben bernanke easing up on the gas pedal sent the dow down 500 points wednesday and thursday. regardless if you own any stocks, your money is on the line. terry sav itch, author of the savage truth on money, chief investment strategist, welcome to the program. you say all of the worrying about when stocks will pull back is a good thing. explain. >> well, i'm not saying that it's a good thing for your psyche to be worried a
>>> the incoming data supports the economy can sustain a reasonable cruising speed. we'll ease the speed to gradually to pace purchases, however any movement made by considering the brakes by raising short term rates are far in the future. >> the tail of the taper, the federal reserve chairman lays out a road map for scaling back on stimulus. bond yields jump and we'll see what it mens for your investments. >>> treating obesity, 1/3rd of american adults and 17% of children are considered to have a disease and could have implications for doctors, patients, insurers and health care. >>> congress questions the effectiveness of a safety mandate and skrud news the mandate. that and more tonight on nightly business report for wednesday, june 19th. >>> ben bernanke has spoken and now investors all around the world have a much better idea of when the federal reserve will start cutting back on the massive stimulus program. the fed chairman said that process could begin later this year and the bond purchases could end completely by the middle of 2014 but only if unemployment and housing
people, is this fundamental? is this is there wrong with the economy? so many people came back to me and says, it's hedge funds taken out, they want to lock them in, they're resetting, moving to cash, resetting, and it's going to be temporary. so it wasn't nearly as scary and it really was hedge funds, that fast, short-term money. not the long term, people. >> so ben bernanke didn't say we're taking money out of the economy, we're putting on the brake. he said sometime in the future, when the unemployment gets to 7%, we will slow down on the accelerator. >> it's exactly what people wanted them to do and it's exactly how they should do it. give them lots of time to adjust, lay out the framework, give them exact details. this is when we think we're going to do it, we're going to do it gradually. and if the economy weakens, we're going to get back in and make sure it's okay. >> ben bernanke says the fed will pull back stimulus measures as the economy improves. that is a good thing the fed chief is giving a road map for that. that means the u.s. economy can stand on its own. that means t
, a world economy in turmoil. derail america's economic comeback. christine romans has answers. "your money" starts right now. >>> another week of volatility in the markets. the reason, we global unrest and uncertainty about the fed's role in propping up the economy. i'm christine romans, this is your money. from space, earth appears peaceful. take a closer look. while signs point a u.s. economy ready to take off, the rest of the world is struggling to take flight. riots in turkey. slowing growth in china. unrest over harsh cuts in greece. from extreme greed to extreme fear. concerns over a global recession already creating volatility for investors. this week saw the biggest single day decline on the dow this year. >> i would give our economy a b to b plus. >> the other guy getting a d is dragging us down. >> why might you not be feeling optimistic? housing prices on the rise. less unemployment numbers. but will the u.s. be dragged down by a world economy in turmoil. >>> want to bring in keith, ceo of risk management and michelle myers, from bank of america. let me start with you, keith. yo
of modern family. >>> first, will a world economy and turmoil derail america's economic comeback. christine romans has answers as your money starts right now. >>> another week of volatility in the markets. the reason? global unrest. uncertainty about the fed's role in propping up the economy. i am christine romans. this is "your money." >>> from space, earth appears peaceful. while science points to a u.s. economy that is ready to take off, the rest of the world is struggling to take fights. riots in turkey, slow growth in china, unrest over harsh cuts in greece. from ux treem greed to extreme fear. concerns over a global recession already creating volatility for investors. this week saw the biggest single day decline in the dow this year. >> i would give our economy a b to a b plus. >> the other guy's is dragging us down. >> why might you be feeling optimistic. housing prices on the rise, consumer confidence at a five-year high, fewer americans filing for unemployment. will america's comeback continue or will the u.s. be dragged down by a world economy in turmoil? >>> i want to bring in ke
support is necessary. if the economy does not improve along the lines that we expect, we'll provide additional support. if financial conditions evolve in a way that's inconsistent with economic recovery, we will provide support. but we're -- and in that way, we hope to increase confidence both among market participants, but also among investors and private consumers and other people in the economy. but again, your point is well taken that we are in a position where the simple adjustment by 25 basis points in the federal funds rate seems like a long-ago experience. and we are in a more complex type of situation. but we are determined to be as clear as we can, and we hope that you and your listeners and the markets will all be able to follow what we're saying. >> we'll go to donna and then go to peter. >> donna boreack with american banker. next month will be the anniversary of the dodd-franken act. can you provide us an update on where we stand with the rule makings and, also, are you still optimistic we will see the rules completed by the end of this year? >> it's certainly true tha
of an ingracious way to do it because ben bernanke got him elected by pumping all the money into the economy, and being the only thing promoting economic growth because his fiscal policies he even admits fail. that's pretty bad. i was shocked at bernanke's statements yesterday. they were clear and concise and said in clear terms that we're going to end this, when we get any sort of indication it's probably going to be over. we may even end et al. together next year if the economy starts to improve. he knows the markets are so volatile, on tender hooks about ending quantitative easing, and you have to thicket was payback. >> neil: normally, they stay before you fire a person, make sure you have their security pass. and check they don't have weapons. but in this case, the powerful weapon. i'm not saying -- there could be the temptation to say i'm going do it sooner than the market thinks. >> i don't think what the president said was an accident. i don't think he says anything accidentally. and you can read a lot into that. and there has been a ton of chatter since that interview, talking abou
cells of the economy, not just the u.s., but the global economy. a lot of news, and assault team coverage with nicole petallides. once again standing by the new york stock exchange. a big sell-off. phil flynn at the cme tracking down the commodities, especially metals. jo ling kent is here with a very troubling story about china that we are following, but first to you, nicole. your headline please. >> reporter: to the big deal here is watching the volatility. we had a lot of 200. swings in the last 21 days since ben bernanke and his testimony may 22nd. half of those, ten of the 21 actually had 200. swings. the volatility is here and today you are obviously seeing a bigger move unusual. 350 points to the downside. cheryl: and an unusual move. that is how you would characterize this. >> reporter: absolutely an unusual move. essene the volatility of 10200, but not 350. cheryl: you will get back to you in a moment. phil flynn at the cme. >> reporter: it is a metals meltdown. what temperature doubles milton mack probably when the fed starts talking about a brief. the dollar is soaring
point. the economy is soft, inflation virtually non-existent and i'm just going to add why risk deflation when we barely have a recovery at all? one major consequence of the bernanke policy of ending bond purchases is the big jump in interest rates and that, in turn, changes stock market valuations and that is one big reason for the large correction in stocks this week. no one can foretell the future. least of all, me. but let me just ask a couple of questions here. have treasury rates completely discounted an end to qe, okay? i don't think they have. here's my fear. i'm just going to say this. if you play this out, the ten-year treasury ought to be the same as the growth of total spending or nominal gdp in the economy and that's 3.5%, maybe 4%. we're at 2.5% on the treasury. in other words, in the last year we'll be looking at rates going to 4% in treasurys and i don't think that's in the market yet. now, also, will both stocks and bonds play cat and mouse with the fed? every day, every week, every month for the next couple of months. that's going to be a tough one. since i don
the fedotenko start scaling back its bond buying program at the end of the year if the economy continues to improve. his comments at the meeting shook the stock and bond market. it's greater optimism. the unemployment could drop to 6 point phone 5% in 2014. that's a year earlier than previously thought. they're still not concerned about inflation and think gdp might expand faster than 3% over the next two years. bernanke tried to draw a distinct line between tapering and the end of qe 2. >> the most important thing that i just want to convey again is that it's important not to say this date, that date, this time. it's important to understand our policies are economic dependent. >>> so coming from the fed. equities sold off in the united states. you can see here just about 35, 40 stocks on the dow jones 500. ftse up 1 2/3. the pmi number. basic resources are the biggest seller. that comes off with china, hsbc pmi down at a nine-month low. new orders down. we're getting more on that from munich. the market reaction, this means commodities are weaker as well to date. spot gold down 3% this
wall street journal," -- -- he went on to say, "the economy is recovering too slowly and should not be regarded as the new normal." >> we need a new approach. an approach that removes obstacles of growth, prosperity -- of growth and prosperity. unleash the nation of builders. to become a nation of builders and i think we have to stop picking winners and losers and start focusing on expanding opportunity for everyone. we started out by giving our kids a good chance at an education. to hirend opportunity axa's education so students are ready for tomorrow's job market. to become a nation of builders again, we need to fix our tax code. if we clear out all of these loopholes and make the tax code fair it is going to make it easier to understand, we will be creating more incentives to bring jobs home, and keep our resources here in america. a host: john boehner before the national association of manufacturers. this headline from "the -- this editorial from "the wall street journal" -- joseph on our twitter page has this comment -- logan is on the phone from las vegas on our independen
the downside risks to the economies have diminished. that's certainly good news. the economy is improving. then they went on to say, mr. bernanke reiterated, the fed may taper bond purchases at the end of the year and finish by mid-2014. that was a little more flesh on the bones of their plan there. that was the important part of that. stocks and bonds dropped on that. the dow jones industrials average. we have ended at the lows of the day, down about 200 points in the dow. that started dropping -- even though we were down before 2:00, the slide accelerated as mr. bernanke began speaking at 2:30 on the press conference. bonds took it on the chin. take a look at the agg. this is the bond etf, the largest one that's out there. that's an aggregate of the total bond market. this is now essentially sitting at a two-year low. let's move on. low inflation, not great necessarily. for gold. gold took it on the chin as well. take a look at gold. gold is also closing right near two-year lows. these are intraday charts. but gold is near a two-year low right now. other commodities dropped as well toda
." >> major funding for the pbs newshour has been provided by: ♪ ♪ moving our economy for 160 years. bnsf, the engine that connects us. >> and by the alfred p. sloan foundation. supporting science, technology, and improved economic performance and financial literacy in the 21st century. >> and with the ongoing support of these institutions and foundations. and... >> this program was made possible by the corporation for public broadcasting. and by contributions to your pbs station from viewers like you. thank you. >> suarez: the prospects for passage of immigration reform, by a big margin, appeared to brighten considerably today. supporters talked hopefully that they'd met demands for greatly expanded policing of the border with mexico. >> madame speaker, i rise to speak. >> suarez: two republicans went to the senate floor this afternoon to announce a potentially critical compromise on a key sticking point for many in the g.o.p. >> americans want immigration reform, of that there is no doubt. they want us to get it right and that means first and foremost securing the border. >> some people
? this global economy. certainly, ups is a definite no whether to where we are headed. right now, checking out stocks. nicole petallides on the floor of the new york stock exchange. nicole: the dow jones industrials down about 28 points. not to off the unchanged line. there is this wait and see mode today. the last trading days have been up more than 100 trading points. the volatility is back. it has been the name of the game since may 22. we heard that tapering maybe in the future. right now everyone is just waiting to see what the fed really has to say. the language is so key here. everyone is waiting to see. right now you can see that the dow is down just slightly. lori: you summed it up beautifully for us. we will get one of the most federal reserve statements ever and less than an hour. will we get any clue as to when tapering will begin? thank you so much for joining us. what are you expecting to hear from the fed today? >> i expect no change. the statement is key. i will look for the labor market. is this the best that we are going to get? if, yes, i expect the taper to put off. lori: o
. the difference this time around, the economy is better, housing is better, the labor market is better. this time around, i think it is a little different, a little bit better fundamental backdrop. tracy: let's talk about how we can position our bonds for it. >> it is hard to know exactly where this will settle out. the move of two to 40 has been pretty dramatic. we may have already covered a lot of the ground we will cover. on the equity side, i think you have to be overweighted in the u.s. still. i like the domestics of the goals. we are the only major market in the world that is growing and i think stocks here are still reasonably priced. tracy: i know you also like tech. >> the problem with tech is you have to be a little discriminating because as a factor, it derives more of its product overseas than ever. the tech sector, in my view, again, is pretty reasonably valued. tracy: we have to talk about commodities. gold is down. event gold typically down this time of year? >> i would not be getting into gold. i think gold is being washed out as a result of the fed's projections. the rest of the
today, and roughly 2% under performing economy, there's just no reason for interest rates to jump higher. the u.s., by the way, is really the only global stock market game in town. our companies are profitable. so at these levels it may not be roaring bullish. i don't think the fed is going to taper down tomorrow, and i do believe the bull market is far from over. that's my take. let's welcome kenneth heed ner. and i'm joined by george gilder. he has the book "knowledge is power." ken, what say you? >> i say that we have a number of years of growth ahead of us in the economy. it's growing at 2%. it's going to accelerate as consumer confidence rises with rising housing prices. we'll see 3, 4, 5% growth rate. >> 3, 4, 5%, those are big numbers. you had an okay housing number today but housing starts are up 29% on year. here's my inflation point. the year-to-year cpi, 1.4%. guys like me two years ago worry about inflation, money printing, i was wrong. i said that before. the best set indicator, 1.0%. without inflation, why should inflation rates have to go higher? >> they go a little bit hi
not be until december or early next year. third point, the u.s. economy's still only growing sluggishly, only 2% growth. just about 1% inflation. modest profits. falling gold. and a steady king dollar. interest rates in my view are not going to skyrocket. there's more money to be made in stocks. the second half is going to be a slower slog than the first half. okay? that's my take on the story. here now we bring in former federal reserve governor frederick mishkin, currently an economics professor at columbia university. welcome back, rick. i just want to ask you, this is a very complicated news conference and a lot of people are saying many different things. first of all, let me ask you if i have the story right. i heard the news conference. the fed will slow down bond purchases toward the end of the year. is that what bernanke said? >> i think what they're trying to do, they've been very concerned, i'm sure, about all the volatility in the markets. and they want to make sure that people understand that in fact they are going to get out of this purchase program, which raises a lot of complicat
what he said? valuations are attractive still. businesses are doing well. the economy is strengthening. get this. he says even with $20 billion, he opportunity have enough money to take advantage of all the opportunities here. >> 20. it's not all his. >> he says he's not looking at this point like, look, maybe the rate of the market has slowed down. we're not talking about three year doubles at this point. he says for his funds he's looking more five or six years for doubling. maybe nine or ten for the market. still talking about a very strong market and a place he sees great opportunity. >> these are times you try to keep your cool. >> got to have some powder. got to have dry powder. >> i wish we had all the guys looking for -- if they were to come on and say no, no, no, i'd feel better. they're never able to pull the trigger. want to go overseas? >> i think we should. for a moment. >> take us there. >> i hear this whole thing in china is kind of just not just ben bernanke creating some problems. let's talk about trading in asia and europe today. ross westgate standing by in london. f
base metals, indication of a slower global economy. commodity stocks, of course, they get hit when the dollar rises, 3%, 4% declines. they've been down 15% in the last six weeks here. let's move on here. there was no place to hide. it didn't matter. consumer staple stocks down 3%. utilities were down 3%. consumer discretionary defense care is not defensive. there wasn't any place to hide. i just want to note, larry, the s&p 500 down 5% from its historic high just about a month ago, but it's still up almost 12% on the year. bear that in mind, i want to know we're already getting deals cancelled and we had one secondary canceled tonight and brookfield renewable energy and they own wind mills and natural gas-fired power plants and they canceled late tonight due to what they call market conditions and the slide to the downside. larry, right now the futures are pretty much unchanged and we'll have it open tomorrow with a lot of trading and it will be the options exploration. after that, a lot of people here are hoping for a relatively smooth day, but nobody knows for sure. back to you.
in the economy. so again, i mean, your point is well taken that we are in a position where this simple adjustment by 25 basis points in the federal fund rate seems like a long ago experience. we are in a more complex type of situation, but we are determined to be as clear as we can. we hope that you and your listeners and the markets will all be able to follow what we're saying. >> donna and then we will go to peter. >> donna with american banker. next month will be the 3-year anniversary of the dodd-frank act. as you know, there are number of significant all makings' that have left. provincial regulations. and risk retention to name a few. can you providen where we stand with bill greuel makings and also, are you still optimistic that we will see these rules completed by the end of this year? >> it is certainly true that it has taken time to do these regulations. there are number of reasons for that. the first is that there are inherently quite complicated. the volker rule for example involves some very subtle distinctions between hedging and market-making in proprietary trading. the second reas
the gravy train by tapering off the stimulus it stumps into the economy, sometime in the near future. he hasn't even announced it yet. i want to get to felicia taylor at the new york stock exchange. explain what happened there to trigger the second day of selloffs. >> the debate has begun as to when that tapering, that slight pullback, and i do mean slight. he's not taking all of the stimulus out of the market at once. traders discussing whether or not it's going to happen in the next month or possibly 2014, what that does to the market. we were down about 380 points before the closing bell. so we have come back a little bit and that is a good sign. but some traders say these kind of selloffs could continue because the debate is going to continue. but what we've really got to focus on is the economy. are we seeing enough positive signs in the economy? so far it's a very mixed picture for the federal reserve to feel confident enough to begin that slow tapering down. the answer is not really. they need at least three monies of positive economic news for him to begin that stimulus pullback.
this year. if they remain broadly aligned with our current expectations for the economy, we will continue to reduce the pace of purchases in measured steps through the first half of next year ending purchases around mid year. >> the bonds finished in the red as the blue chip index showed its seventh straight move. all the main s&p sectors closed lowers. the worst performers were defensive sectors. telecons. this is what people had been warning us, look out for those stocks that act more like bonds. that's exactly what happened yesterday. the yield on the ten year treasury, it hit a 15-month high if you take a look at that. 2.426%. this is a concerning move. this morning the dow futures are indicated down triple digits once again. this is on top of a 200 point plus drop yesterday. it doesn't look like there's going to be a quick bounce back, at least not this morning. >> we have a number of newsmakers to help us make our way through all of this, get through these questions raised by the fed bank. including alfred broaddus and former minneapolis fed. we have john stumpf. cisco is going to h
-changer? the economy getting better? >> think investors don't believe what bernanke is telling us. that the economy is stronger. and that it is a lack of confidence in the economy's ability a to stand on its two feet without all of this liquidity. >> and do you think this is old-fashioned profit taking? we've had good gains for 2013. we've had good gains for last four years. is it time to take something off the table for that reason. >> think i so. and a couple dayes with twloost days of run up with the announcement yesterday was short-covering. so i think you have people on the shore wagon as well. i think it is a combination of profits and the move down today. >> have you a triple witch tomorrow right? expiration coming tomorrow. how does that impact things? >> i think that exaggerates the moods. usually you see a lot of activity and volume and movement. and what we have seen the last few days is a heavy down days. i think the on coming combination exaggerate the move and puts pressure in that direction of the movement in this case down and exaggerate this move. not quite a bit but, significantly
poverty for the lowest income people. and actually, served as a good stimulus for the economy at the same time. >> i mean, and the meme around food stamps has been incredibly divisive. and really false. and i must play the sound from louie gohmert who is really a one-man band in terms of sound bites and outrageous commentary. let us hear what louie gohmert had to say on the floor of the house yesterday. >> standing in line at a grocery store behind people with a food stamp card, and they look in their basket, as one individual said, "i love crab legs," you know the big king crab legs. i love those and then sees the food stamp card pulled out and provided. he is actually helping pay for the king crab legs. when he can't pay for them for himself. >> so everyone on food stamps is apparently buying king crab legs, eugene. >> yeah. >> they're living off the largess of our government. >> king crabs are going to have to be added to the endangered species list, i guess, according to louie gohmert. you know, it's wrong, number one. it's -- it's insulting. it's demeaning. and it's probably the way
employment gets down to 6.5% and once you start seeing the economy get better, more people going in the workforce, it will take a while before they raise rates. >> but this has been a bond buying binge. if it stops, if the fed pulls back, isn't that a sign that the economy is improving and isn't that good for the market? >> brenda, i think you're absolutely right and it's a return that we can rely on. the fundamentals of the economy, you have the jobless rate being reduced, you have housing up and you have corporate profits an all time high. so i think it was an indication by bernanke that we are seeing these indicators and these good forecasts and that please look at this because we may -- if we hit 7% unemployment, we may start ultimate putting on the brakes as it relates to easy money, if you will. >> john, is this a bubble about to burst? are we about to see what happens to the housing market? >> no i think what happened is a bubble was starting to form because of the low rates. the market was getting ahead of the real economy which is still a little lackluster in a lot of ar
that is something that is likely. you would have to see something happening much bigger in the overall economy. i do not think it is likely. >> during the recession, new home construction dropped by roughly half. now, thanks to supply and demand, we are starting to see what could be a very robust housing market. a great deal will depend on the broader economy. connell: david, thank you. david lee miller four us in the newsroom. great story. dagen: new regulations could create a labor shortage in that industry. connell: added to my long-standing theory. nevermind. twitter founder jack dorsey teaching small business leaders how to harness attention in social media. he sat down with our friend, peter barnes. talking about rates all day long. dagen: hello. connell: hey, how's it going? dagen: that is a big move. connell: exactly.% a big move from where we were. we will be right back with more "barkett now." ♪ i want to be prepared for the long haul. ishares minimum volatility etfs. foa smoother ride. find out why 9 out of 10 large professional investors choose ishares for their etfs. ishares by blackr
an immigration system in our country that meets the needs of a growing economy, the biggest economy in the world that focuses on making our country stronger, not weaker, and hopefully will put this debate behind us. so i yield the floor. >> yield for a question. first could i say all of us who have had the honor of working with you and the senator from north dakota greatly appreciate the work that you've done. if there is going to be a broad bipartisan support for the final product it will be because of what you and the senator from north dakota have done. and i'm very, very grateful for that. and i think that it is important wouldn't you agree that people understand that this is a very tough bill. and it required a lot of cooperation from our friends on the other side of the aisle to go along and agree with this. i think that they've shown a great deal of compromise in order to reach this point and agree with us on this legislation, which clearly we need bipartisan support for. but i would like to ask the senator again for a couple of specifics. because i think it is important we understand how
consequential meeting for markets and the federal reserve in terms of guiding markets and guiding the economy on policy here. i want to give you some tips that i think is a way to listen to bernanke today. i think you want to watch the forecast, the 2.6% gdp growth, the average for 2013 and the 7.4% unemployment rate. those could both come down here. unemployment could actually go either way, but i think it might come down here. watch the tapering guidance of the the market bet is that there is not a taper at this meeting, but bernanke could lay the groundwork for september or sooner. rates versus qe. listen to the chairman try to talk. we expect this, that he'll start to say, you know what, bernanke could strive to convince the markets that tapering does not mean a rate hike, and finally i would expect the third degree on the third term. expect many questions on whether bernanke wants to stay or if, you know, he's been fired. one thing i want to show you is the ten-year. we'll be asking the fed chairman about traits and whether the rise in rates is something that the fed wants to have happen
the obama economy? this is "special report." good evening, i am chris wallace in for bret baier. investors and traders on wall street are breathing a sigh of relief, thanks to a break from two rough selloff days in the financial markets. chief white house correspondent ed henry reports there's one man that remains on the hot seat, federal reserve chairman ben bernanke. >> reporter: after two days of market melt downs and high anxiety about 401(k)s plunging again, the last thing president obama or his aides wanted to do today was try to decipher the words of the fed chairman, ben bernanke. >> how is the white house sorting out what he said? >> here is what i have to say about the markets and the fed chairman and fed policy. >> reporter: nothing to say. probably smart because the market settled today, with modest gains for the dow and s&p 500 and a small drop for nasdaq, after a two day global selloff for stocks, bonds, and commodities, sparked by a massive credit crunch in china, refusal by communist leaders to intervene by pumping cash into the system, coupled with bernanke's comment that
mean for commerce and economy. >>> and now a backing off of a bid for sprint by dish, and they will concentrate on clearwire. >>> and also, a look at icahn stepping up dell bid. >>> and now the fed is wrapping up the two-day policy meeting this afternoon. investors hoping that fed will provide clarity about how and when the fed will wind down the bond buying program. make sure to watch the statement, and ben bernanke's news conference which is i perhaps more important, and it starts at 2:00 p.m., and one way or another, it is going to be nice to get something out of the way, wouldn't it? >> yes, i used to regard these events as big bad events when i worked at the hedge fund, because there could be relief even if he says the wrong thing and i'd love for him to address the 10-year, because it signals that the e kconomy is better, b it is not just weak. but if you address the 10-year, i'm in control and the bond vigilantes are not. i believe when this is over, we will come back and discuss -- i'm not kidding -- stocks. >> although, is it possible that the language that h
is not only allowing inflation, but the fact that it won't come down. and now the u.s. economy has to take into account that and the move of rates and the 1.5% move in rates is a hard pill to follow. >> and scott n the last three or maybe four, the feds have come in, and they have said, i am short the 10-year and take a boatload and every year they are wrong, and perhaps now, but to this point, we are waiting for an appreciable move in rates for year and years and the fact that the economy may not stand on its own legs is curious to me. i am curious what you are hearing out there, as well, scott, in terms of the pain people are taking on the fixed income side, and those who are not short credit and obviously watching the equities sell off. >> the market, whether it is treasuries or equities, the market was probably hoping and probably against the better judgment probably that bernanke yesterday was going to sort of walk it back, and walk back the notion that they were going to mention taper org that -- tapering or going to do it any time soon and we know that the people you are talking abo
-- pumping billions and billions of dollars into the economy. is it possible that we have gone from a tech bubble to a housing bubble to a fed bubble? >> it's absolutely a risk. the real question is is this easing? all this billions and billions of dollars, trillions of dollars really of dollars the federal reserve has printed and pumped into the economy. have they created a real enduring economic expansion? can housing exist? can housing keep recovering even without ultra-cheap money? can the housing market keep rising without ultra-cheap money? can housing growth continue? that's the bet that ben bernanke has been making the past couple of years. the question is is the debt going to pay off, or will we be right back in this mess we were five years ago? >> isn't the case when former chairman allen greenspan greens retired, he was pummeled because of the housing bubble. isn't it the case, since greenspan left, we've become more liberal with our monetary supply as far as pumping more money into the monetary supply. money has been basically free for investors and businesses for the past seve
. bernanke said the fed could slow its bond line program later this year, as long as the economy keeps growing and unemployment falls. in a note to clients, renaissance marker research said we suspect the markets are significantly overreact into the process of tapering. rbc capital markets said one of the big surprises in bernanke's press conference was that the chairman did not attempt to walk back the recent rise in interest rates. bernanke said yesterday that tapering really was not that bad. kind of like taking your foot off the gas pedal in the car and hitting a nice cruising speed, not hitting the brakes. >> what he is doing is a lot like monetary drunk driving. >> we will get more clarity at the end of july. connell: thank you much. brian jacobson for us next. it is always good to have brian's point of view. to what level is your anxiety level at this stage? >> my anxiety level is very low. i understand that they have a centrally planned economy. they can marshal resources to prop up their banks if necessary. i am not concerned about the federal reserve cutting back on their ass
of different economies, but housing is key to the u.s. economic recovery along with jobs. how does it look to you? >> i come home from my travels i see it in my own street, that a developer bought the property opposite of us, completely overhauling the original house and building a new one right next to it, kind of noisy. sends me back in my travels again. the infliction point happened, i can tell you when it happened, whenity remortgaged and fixed, and from that moment on you've seen the tightening beginning, and this is going to be a very interesting challenge for the housing recovery as we get further indications from the fed tomorrow that there's tightening coming. that's already begun to affect mortgage rates, and if there's one thing that could cool things down it's going to be a sense that the party is over in terms of quantitative easing. >> diana, weigh in on that, you've made the very points that there may be a cooling of course, but as rates rise it may get people off the couch and into contracts. >> yeah. that's a very short-term phenomenon, and i'd be interested to hear from n
tapering i think will be symbolic. we have inflation high and i don't think to the economy is quite making it out what the fed is meant to be. i think we will see a bounce back here. >> would you say you want to buy here or wait and see if things settle out in more after wash-out? >> i would start to get money involved here. even during the run-up waiting for an opportunity to get into the market. here is an opportunity. you don't have to put everything in but it is time to move some money back into the market, cheaper valuations here. >> michael pento, how do you see it? >> first of all, mr. bernanke is a very confused man. he launched qe4 in january. january of this year. not only six months later, not even six months later, he lowers his growth forecast, takes down dramatically, his inflation outlook, and then for the first time ever, outlines a time line where he's going to get out of his quantitative easing strategy. so he surprised a lot of people on wall street and i got news for mr. bernanke. he does not control long-term interest rates and he has this economy 100% addicted to his
that the outlook for the u.s. economy is still quite unclear and that would dovetail nicely with what are likely to be downward revisions to the fed's forecast for the economy. if you look at the march forecasts, they were still forecasting 2013 gdp at 2.5%. and while i don't think they will go down to the sort of level that the imf was forecasting at 1.9 last friday, down grading that forecast of gdp, downgrading their inflation forecasts to levels which they previously described as sub optimal should offer markets some reassurance that as much as bernanke will stress tapering probably is going to happen, it's a matter of when. and he won't pre-judge his options. it's not something which means immediately that interest rates are going to rise. one of the things that markets seem to have to gotten, that when the fed outlined its qe exit plan in 2011, it did actually say the first thing it would do was not raise interest rates but stop rolling off or reinvesting maturing debt. >> the other thing of course is they won't be buying any fresh stuff even when they stop. and tapering doesn't mean they
morning to you. leaders of the world's most powerful economies are gathering in northern ireland for a two-day summit. british prime minister david cameron is the host, and he's pushing for countries to share more financial information. leaders there also expected to discuss differences on some of the big issues. syria's civil war, free trade between europe and north america and of course global tax evasion. we'll have a live report from steve sedgwick on the ground in the next hour. >>> unions in turkey, they're on a owuone-day strike over the eviction of protesters from a park in istanbul. police and protesters clashed from sporadically overnight following a weekend of scuffles in the city. nbc's richard engel will join us with the latest in the next hour. >>> also in corporate news this morning, a large activist investor in smithfield foods is pressuring the company to explore a break-up rather than go ahead with that planned $4.7 billion takeover by a chinese meat producer. i don't know if this is going to make joe happy or not, but "the wall street journal" reporting that starboard va
university, about the state of the u.s. economy. later in the program we will be joined by a matthew segal. he will be here to talk about issues important to young americans. you are watching "washington journal." we will be right back. ♪ >> when you talk about transparency to the american public, there is -- you are going to give up something. you are going to be giving signals to our adversaries as to what our capabilities are. the more specific you get about the program, the more specific about the oversight, the more specific you get about the capabilities and successes, to that extent you have people sitting around saying, "ok, now i understand what it can be done with our numbers in yemen and in the united states and consequently i am going to find another way to communicate." there is a price to be paid for that transparency. where that line is drawn, in terms of identifying what our capabilities are, is out of our hands. if you tell us to do it one way we will do it that way. there is a price to be paid for transparency. >> robert muller makes his last scheduled appearance before
about how the economy is still a bit dicey and jobs aren't being created fast enough. now they're thinking he just wants to put everybody to work, he's not worried about the bonds. bondholders are saying to heck with this, you're not going to protect us, economy is way too strong for bernanke to keep buying bonds, he can't keep rates down, he shouldn't even try. the owners of bonds aren't as worried about the ongoing drag of the federal government that bernanke's fretting about and talked about today. they aren't worried about higher taxes, sequester spending cuts or any lack of any serious attempt by elected officials to get hiring going. they are selling their bonds right now before things get so much better that those bonds will be worth even less! to understand how bonds work i've got to do something different because i know a lot of people can't tell the difference between a stock and a bond. so i'm going to -- i'm going to do a little fictional analysis here. imagine that the united states is a publicly traded company. and it's got this really counterintuitive stock that
. thank you for coming on tonight. >> no problem. gerri: in an unrelated story, is the economy about to hit the brakes? there has been slowdown for the past three years. kennedy avoided if this year? with more on this, we have with sam saunders a chief investment strategist for charles schwab. i want to get to this idea of the economy in just a second. but first, i would like you to respond to this pink newspaper about how ben bernanke may indicate exactly what he's going to apply the brakes on easing this week. we expect to hear from him on wednesday. what do you say? >> i'm not so sure that that is shocking news. this has been building to the point where it actually starts tapering off. they have been transparent. to think about this a few months in advance, i'm not so sure that i understand why this is newsworthy be one you may be calm, but the markets were not. where do you think the professional traders are thinking about this right now? >> the market is having little tantrums. but it's not a big surprise. we know what the fed has done is unprecedented with quantitative easing a
the big concern here on wall street was china. the once-booming chinese economy-- now the second-largest in the world-- is beginning to slow down. wall street is worried that the chinese government is not acting fast enough to boost its economy by injecting cash into a tight cred chinese banks have become reluctant to lend to each other. overnight, interest rates shot up by double digits according to wall street trader ben willis. >> this is a natural correction we've been looking for. we can blame it on ben bernanke, we can blame it on china, we can blame it on greece. >> reporter: but with credit tight, investors who r worried chinese consumers won't be able to buy as many goods from the west, hurting other economies. but willis remains optimistic seeing opportunity if falling stock prices >> we love this. this is what we live for when you have this kind of volatility. this is a dream for us. that's why you're in the business. >> reporter: this is when you make your money. i >> exactly. >> reporter: and with the dow rising more than 12% so far this year, stocks were selling at
many financial stocks particularly those exposed to the domestic economy. david: okay. >> the u.s. is well-capitalized -- david: i have to put you on pause there when you're on financials. we'll take issue with you. we have earnings coming in from oracle. jo ling kent what do the numbers look like? >> dave, we have an 87 cents per share eps which is exactly as expected. $10.95 billion which is a miss on revenue. breaking down numbers a little bit, we see a quarterly revenue of $849 million. what is interesting, new software license revenues were up 1.4% to 4 billion. they were expecting to see this go from, between 1 and 11% that is certainly on the low end. that is a very important area for oracle to grow especially if other companies get into this market. david: i want to go back to todd. we have a lot of news to cover i don't want to focus on any one stock but does this tell you anything about oracle? >> this is common throughout the entire earnings season. miss on the top line. that is the whole story. oracle looks pretty good chartwise. with the current market conditions it
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